Thursday, January 03, 2008

Iowa's moment to shine

Well, the Iowa Caucuses are finally here. It seems like this campaign has been going on forever and now slightly more than 100,000 people will have a exert their undue influence over who becomes our next president. Not that this is all that unusual when you consider that the 2000 election hinged on less than a few thousand in one state or another. After tonight Iowa fades back into obscurity so enjoy it while it lasts! Anyway, here are a few related links you may find interesting.

Here's Rudy's final message. I can sum it up as "FEAR FEAR FEAR MUSLIMS FEAR TERRORISTS FEAR FEAR FEAR STRONG LEADER" Give me a break. Fascist.

A friend of mine from Iowa was quoted on the front page of the New York Times about how unfair it is that he can't vote because he's in Afghanistan. He's one of the most politically knowledgeable people I know so that kind of sucks for him. Plus I know he'd pick a good candidate even if we did argue about voting for Nader vs. Gore back in the day.

Romney loves Bush. "We love what they’ve done for us, and we also love a president who has kept us safe these last six years."
I guess he's aiming for that third of the country that still approves of Bush. Good luck winning a general election with that attitude.

After all of the hype Fred Thompson campaign laid a giant turd. He only went to one campaign event on New Year's Day and doesn't have any money to advertise. Yaaawn. Don't wake grandpa up, kids.

Huckabee has made a charge in Iowa but the knives are out from the Republican establishment. They like their religious nuts kept behind the curtain and not in full view. He may do well in Iowa (I think he'll win with Romney close and McCain surprising a little bit) but I don't see any way he wins the nomination. He's seemed pretty clueless as the frontrunner, such as when he made a big deal about making a negative ad but choosing not to show it on TV. Instead he just showed it to the reporters and spent the next two days going on every TV show to say what the ad said but reminding everyone that he was too nice to run it. Umm, ok.

Have I ripped on McCain yet? He's old but I think he might win the nomination. However, I think it's going to be a knockout drag out fight that might not be settled until the Twin Cities this summer. That would be fun to watch as the different factions went for each other's throat. Please let this happen.

The Democrats? I would be happy with any of them but happier with Edwards or Obama. I'm not sure how that one is going to shake out but a lot will depend on how things work out tonight and how the media spins it going into NH and beyond. My guess is that whoever does well in these first few will have the support of the party sooner rather than later. The reason for this is that I think most Democrats feel pretty good about all of their candidates while the Republicans are choosing the least smelly turd of the bunch. It should still be a 2 person race when it comes to Kansas in February but I don't think it goes much beyond that.

Either way it's going to be a fun night following that and , of course, KU in the Orange Bowl.

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